Spiritater wrote:But we scored 3.
The One wrote:Spiritater wrote:But we scored 3.
Should have had 4 with peno. 5 with Laps hitting bar. So that screws that up.
Tippy Tappy Football wrote:We have now moved into the play off positions in the xG table. We are 7th with a record of P24 W10 D9 L5 = 39 Points (+7 points). Our away win over Oldham Athletic was our best away xG attacking performance of the season (2.6). The home win against Salford City was the 2nd best xG home performance after Port vale (3.4). Our defensive performance at Southend yesterday (0.5) was our equal best away performance with Bolton(A). 7 out of our 10 best attacking xG performances and 8 out of our best 10 defensive performances have come under Nigel Clough.
We also had 53% possession against Southend United which is our equal best away possession % of the season with the Morecambe game.
Stats show that on xG we should have beat Tranmere(H), Bolton Wanderers(A), Crawley Town(H), Grimsby Town(A), Southend United(H), Scunthorpe United(A), Port Vale(H), Salford City(H), Oldham Athletic(A) and Southend United(A). We deserved to lose on xG to Newport County(A), Bradford City(H), Barrow(H), Forest Green Rovers,(A) and Carlisle United(A).
Our best attacking performances of the season were:
Port Vale(H) 3.4 xG
Crawley Town(H) 2.8
Oldham Athletic(A) 2.6
Salford City(H) 2.4
Scunthorpe United(A) 1.7
Tranmere Rovers(H) 1.7
Leyton Orient(A) 1.5
Southend United(H) 1.5
Bradford City(H) 1.4
Grimsby Town(A) 1.4
Our best defensive performances were:
Tranmere Rovers(H) 0.2
Port Vale(H) 0.4
Bolton Wanderers(A) 0.5
Southend United(A) 0.5
Walsall(H) 0.7
Colchester United(H) 0.7
Southend United(H) 0.7
Scunthorpe United(A) 0.7
Crawley Town(H) 0.8
Grimsby Town(A) 0.8
Expected Goals
Mansfield Town 1.7 Tranmere Rovers 0.2 (HT:0.7-0.2) 3 Points
Leyton Orient 1.4 Mansfield Town 1.5 (HT:0.6-0.2) 1 Point
Mansfield Town 1.3 Exeter City 1.1 (HT:0.6 v 0.25) 1 Point
Newport County 1.5 Mansfield Town 1.0 (HT:0.25 v 0.25) 0 Points
Mansfield Town 1.1 Stevenage 1.1 (HT:0.6 v 0.6) 1 Point
Mansfield Town 1.4 Bradford City 2.1 (HT:0.7 v 1.0) 0 Points
Morecambe 1.2 Mansfield Town 0.9 (HT:0.5 v 0.5) 1 Point
Cheltenham Town 1.0 Mansfield Town 0.9 (HT:0.3 v 0.6) 1 Point
Mansfield Town 1.3 Barrow 2.1 (HT:0.3 v 1.4) 0 Points
Mansfield Town 0.9 Walsall 0.7 (HT:0.3-0.25) 1 Point
Bolton Wanderers 0.5 Mansfield Town 1.1 (HT:0.25-0.5) 3 Points
Forest Green Rovers 2.2 Mansfield Town 1.2 (HT: 0.8 v 1) 0 Points
Mansfield Town 0.9 Colchester United 0.7 (HT: 0.3 v 0.3) 1 Point
Mansfield Town 1.3 Harrogate Town 1.6 (HT: 0.55 v 0.8) 1 Point
Cambridge United 1.3 Mansfield Town 1.3 (HT: 0.45 v 0.7) 1 Point
Mansfield Town 2.8 Crawley Town 0.8 (HT: 1.5 v 0) 3 Points
Grimsby Town 1.0 Mansfield Town 1.4 (HT: 0.2 v 0.2) 3 Points
Carlisle United 2.0 Mansfield Town 0.7 (HT: 0.95 v 0.45) 0 Points
Mansfield Town 1.5 Southend United 0.7 (HT: 0.4 v 0.5) 3 Points
Scunthorpe United 0.7 Mansfield Town 1.7 (HT: 0.4 v 0.6) 3 Points
Mansfield Town 3.4 Port Vale 0.4 (HT: 1.3 v 0.15) 3 Points
Mansfield Town 2.4 Salford City 1.8 ( 1.8 v 0.4) 3 Points
Oldham Athletic 0.9 Mansfield Town 2.6 (HT: 0.4 v 2.1) 3 Points
Southend United 0.5 Mansfield Town 1.5 (HT 0.3 v 0.8) 3 Points
Squad Churn as at 21st September 2020: 7th Highest (49%)
% of minutes played in 2019-2020 by players who are still at club
We will probably have a higher squad churn now due to Danny Rose leaving.
Possession
v Tranmere Rovers (Home) 51%
v Leyton Orient (Away) 40%
v Exeter City (Home) 47%
v Newport County (Away) 43%
v Stevenage (Home) 64%
v Bradford City (Home) 45%
v Morecambe (Away) 53%
v Cheltenham (Away) 42%
v Barrow (Home) 40%
v Walsall (Home) 52%
v Bolton Wanderers (Away) 44%
v Forest Green Rovers (Away) 31.5%
v Colchester United (Home) 44%
v Harrogate Town (Home) 57%
v Cambridge United (Home) 47%
v Crawley Town (Home) 51%
v Grimsby Town (Away) 44.5%
v Carlisle United (Away) 52%
v Southend United (Home) 61.5%
v Scunthorpe United (Away) 48%
v Port Vale (Home) 60%
v Salford City (Home) 49%
v Oldham Athletic (Away) 44%
v Southend United (Away) 53%
xG Table 2019-2020
Mansfield Town: W14 D5 L17, 47 Points, Position: 15th
Albuquerque Stag wrote:https://youtu.be/8kfArTnHHiQ
Came across this video and thought some might find it interesting as there's been a few disagreements with the use of stats.
Not trying to support or argue a particular viewpoint, as I agree with whoever said that stats can be used as a sort of rough guide and should be used with actually watching games and using your own observations to form opinions. Just thought some on here would find it interesting to see how stats can be used to produce inaccurate conclusions in some cases and how this can be corrected.
one f in mansfield wrote:https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/newsbeat-55816277
my first job was getting up at 4:30 to be a van boy at Landers Bread . i Would have loved his job
one f in mansfield wrote:https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/newsbeat-55816277
my first job was getting up at 4:30 to be a van boy at Landers Bread . i Would have loved his job
Sandy Pate Best Stag wrote:one f in mansfield wrote:https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/newsbeat-55816277
my first job was getting up at 4:30 to be a van boy at Landers Bread . i Would have loved his job
I wonder how the players he has recommended have turned out on the field of play. No mention in the article which seems a little strange.
Tippy Tappy Football wrote:Here is an extract from a recent article by Plymouth Argyle Chairman, Simon Hallett. Another club that is using data analytics to assist recruitment.
"At the core of our decision-making will be an attempt to overcome those biases from which all of us suffer. We have begun to incorporate the use of data analytics in assessing players who are candidates for our squad. All too often in football, recruitment is done based on recent results, and gut feel, rather than on objective facts. While the judgment of our football people is good, it will be backed by hard evidence, not just by what they see with their eyes. Surely no football fan who has argued about their team’s performance can doubt how our views can be tainted by our emotions, and how two people watching the same player can “see” radically different performances!"
https://www.pafc.co.uk/news/2021/februa ... mans-chat/?
Sandy Pate Best Stag wrote:Tippy Tappy Football wrote:Here is an extract from a recent article by Plymouth Argyle Chairman, Simon Hallett. Another club that is using data analytics to assist recruitment.
"At the core of our decision-making will be an attempt to overcome those biases from which all of us suffer. We have begun to incorporate the use of data analytics in assessing players who are candidates for our squad. All too often in football, recruitment is done based on recent results, and gut feel, rather than on objective facts. While the judgment of our football people is good, it will be backed by hard evidence, not just by what they see with their eyes. Surely no football fan who has argued about their team’s performance can doubt how our views can be tainted by our emotions, and how two people watching the same player can “see” radically different performances!"
https://www.pafc.co.uk/news/2021/februa ... mans-chat/?
But is there evidence that the stats are any more accurate? They are, after all only someone’s interpretation of a performance so where is the difference?
I have made no secret that I think Kellan Gordon can’t defend but stats say he can. What happened on Tuesday?. Neither system is 100% accurate and so probably we should have a system where both are taken into account equally.
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