Rob wrote:Jamie wrote:Bradders wrote:Spiritater wrote:Dave Wayne wrote:Sorry to be mister negative but weekly cases up to 15th November were higher in Mansfield, Ashfield and Bassetlaw than they were in the week we were put into tier 3 before the current lockdown started.
Notts Director for Public Health said on Friday that there was a modest reduction in case numbers in the county, but not a sustained downward trend.
I genuinely can't see us being in anything other than tier 3 when the current lockdown initially comes to an end, but as belly has said above, the 'carrot' of seeing other clubs getting fans in may encourage people to toe the line a bit more so they can have the same benefits.
Doubt it.
I don't think that there's anything we can do about it. In my view it's just sweeping through the country with schools giving it a path, until enough schoolchildren have had it and it eases off. Infections are falling to the north and west but rising in the south. Notts is generally improving gradually but Mansfield and Bassetlaw are a bit behind the curve.
But infection rates have fallen a lot in the last couple of days and we may be under 300 per 100000 by Thursday.
The numbers in Nottingham have some down significantly from the peak. At its highest it was 180/100k per day. Now less than 40... Mansfield peaked at 55 ish and is now 45 ish.
I agree we'll be in T3 but I can't see more than a few places being T1. In all our areas the numbers are reducing or dropping. Hopefully they'll be a clear cut off point between T2 and T3 and we can get the right side of it.
This is a good step forward for fans though. With a vaccine coming etc even if were T3 now I think we'll get to see some football maybe Feb onwards.
I don't know where you get your stats Jamie, the BBC reports today that Mansfield has 322 cases per 100,000 people in the latest week 13 Nov-19 Nov. The average area in England had 187.
Tier 3 for Mansfield, no better here in Lincoln. If only we'd have locked down earlier like the experts suggested eh? We could have been watching the Stags live on Boxing Day ......
I just used the BBC data, searching by area. They confuse matters by giving rates per 100k both daily in the graph (what i used) and weekly as the headline (the 300 ish per 100k is weekly).
I took my numbers from the 7 day average on the daily graph. In Mansfield the peak for daily rates per 100k (7 day average) was over 55 per day, its now its mid 40s.
I wish they'd stop mixing the data they present. But essentially it's the same, 322 per 100k in a 7 day period is the same as 322 divided by 7 which is 46 and what i quoted.
The experts? You mean like the WHO who say lockdowns aren't good and have a worse impact on other things, out weighing the covid gains. Or maybe the same experts who justified the recent lockdowns and prior restrictions the data that was utter lies. Like cases and deaths doubling every week etc. Or Chris Whitty perhaps who hasn't made a correct data projection yet...
Fingers crossed for T2 but given the mentality of people round here we'll probably have to wait. Remember we're dealing with people who refuse to sit in allocated seating