Dan wrote:Even more evidence that the majority of stats are pointless.
Tippy Tappy Football wrote:It looks like the Stags are averaging around 12-13 attempts on goal a game but also giving up 12-13 attempts to the opposition. We are scoring a goal after every 12-13 attempts but conceding a goal after every 8-9 attempts. Our attack is classified as "energetically wasteful" whereas our defence is "competent but busy".
https://experimental361.com/2020/12/20/ ... -dec-2020/
Parkinsons Perm wrote:Do they factor into the xG Bowery and Reid up front, surely that would reduce it drastically?
MTFCMusings wrote:Parkinsons Perm wrote:Do they factor into the xG Bowery and Reid up front, surely that would reduce it drastically?
No. Player ability is not taken into account. It’s to measure quality of chances created.
Might put this in my bio for the amount of times I’ve said it
Tippy Tappy Football wrote:We are 13th in the xG league table (P19 W5 D9 L5 = 24 Points (+7).
Stats show that on xG we should have beat Tranmere(H), Bolton Wanderers(A), Crawley Town(H), Grimsby Town(A) and Southend United(H) which suggests below average finishing in home games. We deserved to lose on xG to Newport County(A), Bradford City(H), Barrow(H), Forest Green Rovers(A) and Carlisle United(A).
Our best attacking performances of the season were:
Crawley Town(H) 2.8 xG
Tranmere Rovers(H) 1.7
Leyton Orient(A) 1.5
Southend United(H) 1.5
Bradford City(H) 1.4
Grimsby Town(A) 1.4
Our best defensive performances were:
Tranmere Rovers(H) 0.2
Bolton Wanderers(A) 0.5
Walsall(H) 0.7
Colchester United(H) 0.7
Southend United(H) 0.7
Crawley Town(H) 0.8
Grimsby Town(A) 0.8
Expected Goals
Mansfield Town 1.7 Tranmere Rovers 0.2 (HT:0.7-0.2) 3 Points
Leyton Orient 1.4 Mansfield Town 1.5 (HT:0.6-0.2) 1 Point
Mansfield Town 1.3 Exeter City 1.1 (HT:0.6 v 0.25) 1 Point
Newport County 1.5 Mansfield Town 1.0 (HT:0.25 v 0.25) 0 Points
Mansfield Town 1.1 Stevenage 1.1 (HT:0.6 v 0.6) 1 Point
Mansfield Town 1.4 Bradford City 2.1 (HT:0.7 v 1.0) 0 Points
Morecambe 1.2 Mansfield Town 0.9 (HT:0.5 v 0.5) 1 Point
Cheltenham Town 1.0 Mansfield Town 0.9 (HT:0.3 v 0.6) 1 Point
Mansfield Town 1.3 Barrow 2.1 (HT:0.3 v 1.4) 0 Points
Mansfield Town 0.9 Walsall 0.7 (HT:0.3-0.25) 1 Point
Bolton Wanderers 0.5 Mansfield Town 1.1 (HT:0.25-0.5) 3 Points
Forest Green Rovers 2.2 Mansfield Town 1.2 (HT: 0.8 v 1) 0 Points
Mansfield Town 0.9 Colchester United 0.7 (HT: 0.3 v 0.3) 1 Point
Mansfield Town 1.3 Harrogate Town 1.6 (HT: 0.55 v 0.8) 1 Point
Cambridge United 1.3 Mansfield Town 1.3 (HT: 0.45 v 0.7) 1 Point
Mansfield Town 2.8 Crawley Town 0.8 (HT: 1.5 v 0) 3 Points
Grimsby Town 1.0 Mansfield Town 1.4 (HT: 0.2 v 0.2) 3 Points
Carlisle United 2.0 Mansfield Town 0.7 (HT: 0.95 v 0.45) 0 Points
Mansfield Town 1.5 Southend United 0.7 (HT: 0.4 v 0.5) 3 Points
Squad Churn as at 21st September 2020: 7th Highest (49%)
% of minutes played in 2019-2020 by players who are still at club
We will probably have a higher squad churn now due to Danny Rose leaving.
Possession
v Tranmere Rovers (Home) 51%
v Leyton Orient (Away) 40%
v Exeter City (Home) 47%
v Newport County (Away) 43%
v Stevenage (Home) 64%
v Bradford City (Home) 45%
v Morecambe (Away) 53%
v Cheltenham (Away) 42%
v Barrow (Home) 40%
v Walsall (Home) 52%
v Bolton Wanderers (Away) 44%
v Forest Green Rovers (Away) 31.5%
v Colchester United (Home) 44%
v Harrogate Town (Home) 57%
v Cambridge United (Home) 47%
v Crawley Town (Home) 51%
v Grimsby Town (Away) 44.5%
v Carlisle United (Away) 52%
v Southend United (Home) 61.5%
xG Table 2019-2020
Mansfield Town: W14 D5 L17, 47 Points, Position: 15th
Tippy Tappy Football wrote:It looks like the Stags are averaging around 12-13 attempts on goal a game but also giving up 12-13 attempts to the opposition. We are scoring a goal after every 12-13 attempts but conceding a goal after every 8-9 attempts. Our attack is classified as "energetically wasteful" whereas our defence is "competent but busy".
https://experimental361.com/2020/12/20/ ... -dec-2020/
Parkinsons Perm wrote:MTFCMusings wrote:Parkinsons Perm wrote:Do they factor into the xG Bowery and Reid up front, surely that would reduce it drastically?
No. Player ability is not taken into account. It’s to measure quality of chances created.
Might put this in my bio for the amount of times I’ve said it
But it's xG which is expected goals not xQ expected quality?
Do you "expect" Reid and Bowery to finish chances so it's a huge factor?
Tippy Tappy Football wrote:7 of our 8 best defensive xG performances have come post Coughlan and switching to a back four (two under Richard Cooper and 5 under Nigel Clough).
Tippy Tappy Football wrote:Stats show that on xG we should have beat Tranmere(H), Bolton Wanderers(A), Crawley Town(H), Grimsby Town(A), Southend United(H), Scunthorpe United(A) and Port Vale(H). We deserved to lose on xG to Newport County(A), Bradford City(H), Barrow(H), Forest Green Rovers(A) and Carlisle United(A).
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