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Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ? (Be Wembley Winners?)

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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby Vice President » Wed Jan 30, 2019 8:19 pm

Injuries will be key. If we can remain 'relatively' injury-free for the next 16 games, then we have a great chance.

However, injuries to the likes of Bishop, Pearce, Walker, Grant, CJ etc. ....... could derail things. In fact, there are so many players that you could put on that list, that it shows that our first eleven are quality players, but our reserves are nowhere near as good. Even our bench isn't that strong. So fingers crossed we can remain injury free.
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby KirkbyStag2 » Wed Jan 30, 2019 8:24 pm

part time pete wrote:So we have 16 games to go, our last 16 games have been 9W-5D-2L = 32 points (2pt a game) so 55+32 = 87pts forecast

Surely we can't mess up this season


Pompey were Champions with 87 points in 2016/17 ;)

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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby gazza1988 » Wed Jan 30, 2019 8:52 pm

part time pete wrote:So we have 16 games to go, our last 16 games have been 9W-5D-2L = 32 points (2pt a game) so 55+32 = 87pts forecast

Surely we can't mess up this season


Considering it's largely DF's squad now not quite a hacked together mess. I fancy our chances. but this is football, anything can happen.
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby scotsstag » Sat Feb 02, 2019 6:22 pm

Looking at tonight's table it's now all in our own hands.
Get as many points as those around us and we're promoted, don't have to rely on anyone else or games in hand.
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby stagsfan6493 » Sat Feb 02, 2019 7:13 pm

Vice President wrote:Injuries will be key. If we can remain 'relatively' injury-free for the next 16 games, then we have a great chance.

However, injuries to the likes of Bishop, Pearce, Walker, Grant, CJ etc. ....... could derail things. In fact, there are so many players that you could put on that list, that it shows that our first eleven are quality players, but our reserves are nowhere near as good. Even our bench isn't that strong. So fingers crossed we can remain injury free.

If Bishop gets injured then I would be very worried, he is our best player this season and makes everything click.
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby Vice President » Sat Feb 02, 2019 7:19 pm

stagsfan6493 wrote:
Vice President wrote:Injuries will be key. If we can remain 'relatively' injury-free for the next 16 games, then we have a great chance.

However, injuries to the likes of Bishop, Pearce, Walker, Grant, CJ etc. ....... could derail things. In fact, there are so many players that you could put on that list, that it shows that our first eleven are quality players, but our reserves are nowhere near as good. Even our bench isn't that strong. So fingers crossed we can remain injury free.

If Bishop gets injured then I would be very worried, he is our best player this season and makes everything click.


I agree. There are many candidates, but Bishop is the one we most need to keep injury free. Grant & Walker are pretty crucial too.
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby Stag95 » Sat Feb 02, 2019 7:22 pm

Vice President wrote:
stagsfan6493 wrote:
Vice President wrote:Injuries will be key. If we can remain 'relatively' injury-free for the next 16 games, then we have a great chance.

However, injuries to the likes of Bishop, Pearce, Walker, Grant, CJ etc. ....... could derail things. In fact, there are so many players that you could put on that list, that it shows that our first eleven are quality players, but our reserves are nowhere near as good. Even our bench isn't that strong. So fingers crossed we can remain injury free.

If Bishop gets injured then I would be very worried, he is our best player this season and makes everything click.


I agree. There are many candidates, but Bishop is the one we most need to keep injury free. Grant & Walker are pretty crucial too.

I'd chuck Pearce in that category too.
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby KirkbyStag2 » Sat Feb 02, 2019 9:37 pm

I'm assuming 81 points will be enough for automatic promotion, TOP 3 finish.

Current Table
PLD.....W......D.....L......PTS.......PPG
31......15.....13....3.......58.......1.87

Required for 81 points
PLD.....W.....D.......L......PTS......PPG
15.......7......2.......6.......23......1.53
15.......6......5.......4.......23......1.53
15.......5......8.......2.......23......1.53
15.......4.....11......0.......23......1.53

Based on our current PPG 1.87 we would finish on 86 points, which is usually Top 3, automatic promotion.

In our last 10 league games we've averaged PPG 2.0 :clap:

Best defensive record in the division, only conceding 24 goals in 31 games.

:coys:
Last edited by KirkbyStag2 on Sat Feb 02, 2019 10:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby SidneyOttewell » Sat Feb 02, 2019 9:54 pm

KirkbyStag2 wrote:I'm assuming 81 points will be enough for automatic promotion, TOP 3 finish.

Current Table
PLD.....W......D.....L......PTS.......PPG
31......15.....13....3.......58.......1.87

Required for 81 points
PLD.....W.....D.......L......PTS......PPG
15.......7......2.......6.......23......1.53
15.......6......5.......4.......23......1.53
15.......5......8.......2.......23......1.53
15.......4.....11......0.......23......1.53

Based on our current PPG 1.83 we would finish on 86 points, which is usually Top 3, automatic promotion.

In our last 10 league games we've averaged PPG 2.0 :clap:

Best defensive record in the division, only conceding 24 goals in 31 games.

:coys:


I think you mean 1.87.
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby stagshead » Sat Feb 02, 2019 10:14 pm

Lies, damned lies, and statistics. Forget the stats, let's just concentrate and win our games and we will get promoted. Simple.
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby EdwinstoweStag » Sat Feb 02, 2019 10:15 pm

SidneyOttewell wrote:
KirkbyStag2 wrote:I'm assuming 81 points will be enough for automatic promotion, TOP 3 finish.

Current Table
PLD.....W......D.....L......PTS.......PPG
31......15.....13....3.......58.......1.87

Required for 81 points
PLD.....W.....D.......L......PTS......PPG
15.......7......2.......6.......23......1.53
15.......6......5.......4.......23......1.53
15.......5......8.......2.......23......1.53
15.......4.....11......0.......23......1.53

Based on our current PPG 1.83 we would finish on 86 points, which is usually Top 3, automatic promotion.

In our last 10 league games we've averaged PPG 2.0 :clap:

Best defensive record in the division, only conceding 24 goals in 31 games.

:coys:


I think you mean 1.87.

How very sad
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby SidneyOttewell » Sat Feb 02, 2019 10:20 pm

EdwinstoweStag wrote:
SidneyOttewell wrote:
KirkbyStag2 wrote:I'm assuming 81 points will be enough for automatic promotion, TOP 3 finish.

Current Table
PLD.....W......D.....L......PTS.......PPG
31......15.....13....3.......58.......1.87

Required for 81 points
PLD.....W.....D.......L......PTS......PPG
15.......7......2.......6.......23......1.53
15.......6......5.......4.......23......1.53
15.......5......8.......2.......23......1.53
15.......4.....11......0.......23......1.53

Based on our current PPG 1.83 we would finish on 86 points, which is usually Top 3, automatic promotion.

In our last 10 league games we've averaged PPG 2.0 :clap:

Best defensive record in the division, only conceding 24 goals in 31 games.

:coys:


I think you mean 1.87.

How very sad


No, it's not. Kirkby's Current Table shows PPG as 1.87 and that's correct.
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby scotsstag » Sun Feb 03, 2019 3:59 am

EdwinstoweStag wrote:
SidneyOttewell wrote:
KirkbyStag2 wrote:I'm assuming 81 points will be enough for automatic promotion, TOP 3 finish.

Current Table
PLD.....W......D.....L......PTS.......PPG
31......15.....13....3.......58.......1.87

Required for 81 points
PLD.....W.....D.......L......PTS......PPG
15.......7......2.......6.......23......1.53
15.......6......5.......4.......23......1.53
15.......5......8.......2.......23......1.53
15.......4.....11......0.......23......1.53

Based on our current PPG 1.83 we would finish on 86 points, which is usually Top 3, automatic promotion.

In our last 10 league games we've averaged PPG 2.0 :clap:

Best defensive record in the division, only conceding 24 goals in 31 games.

:coys:


I think you mean 1.87.

How very sad


How very rude :roll:
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby EdwinstoweStag » Sun Feb 03, 2019 9:50 am

scotsstag wrote:
EdwinstoweStag wrote:
SidneyOttewell wrote:
KirkbyStag2 wrote:I'm assuming 81 points will be enough for automatic promotion, TOP 3 finish.

Current Table
PLD.....W......D.....L......PTS.......PPG
31......15.....13....3.......58.......1.87

Required for 81 points
PLD.....W.....D.......L......PTS......PPG
15.......7......2.......6.......23......1.53
15.......6......5.......4.......23......1.53
15.......5......8.......2.......23......1.53
15.......4.....11......0.......23......1.53

Based on our current PPG 1.83 we would finish on 86 points, which is usually Top 3, automatic promotion.

In our last 10 league games we've averaged PPG 2.0 :clap:

Best defensive record in the division, only conceding 24 goals in 31 games.

:coys:


I think you mean 1.87.

How very sad


How very rude :roll:


How very dare you :D
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby BoughtonStag71 » Sun Feb 03, 2019 11:11 am

25pts from the remaining 45 should see the job done
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby sunray » Sun Feb 03, 2019 11:43 am

Why are talking about top 3. Let's go up as Champions. The Lincoln game could be the decider.
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby Spiritater » Sun Feb 03, 2019 4:55 pm

1st, 2nd or 3rd will do. Champs'd be nice, but in effect t'is but a cherry on the top.
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby EdwinstoweStag » Sun Feb 03, 2019 5:44 pm

Trophy for vanity
Promotion for sanity
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby Stags 2002 » Sun Feb 03, 2019 9:19 pm

We have now officially played each team once. As i did last year working on the basis that if you win at home and draw away i.e take 4pts per team you'll get 92 points .Below is the road map for the remaining reverse fixtures and outcome required to secure 4pts against each team.

The defeat against Exeter means only 3pts rather than 4pts are attainable setting 91pts as the starting target.

Bury H (W) (W) +0 91pts
Swindon H (W) (D) -2 89pts
Grimsby A (D) (W) +2 91pts
Carlisle A (D) (L) -1 90pts
Yeovil H (W) (L) -3 87pts
Colchester A (W) (W) +0 87pts
Tranmere H (W) (W) +0 87pts
Macclesfield H (W) (W) +0 87pts
Newport A (D)
Notts County A (D)
Forest Green H (W)
Cheltenham H (W)
Port Vale A (D)
Crawley A (D)
Lincoln H (W)
Crewe H (D)
Exeter A (W)
Cambridge H (W)
Northampton A (D)
Morecambe H (D)
Oldham A (W)
Stevenage H (D)
MK Dons A (W)

15 games remain - 7 Wins 8 Draws will give us 87 points.
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby gazza1988 » Fri Feb 08, 2019 5:32 pm

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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby KirkbyStag2 » Sat Feb 09, 2019 7:17 pm

I'm assuming 81 points will be enough for automatic promotion, TOP 3 finish.

Current Table
PLD.....W......D.....L......PTS.......PPG
32......15.....13....4.......58.......1.81

Required for 81 points
PLD.....W.....D.......L......PTS......PPG
14.......7......2.......5.......23......1.64
14.......6......5.......3.......23......1.64
14.......5......8.......1.......23......1.64

Based on our current PPG 1.81 we would finish on 83 points, which is usually Top 3, automatic promotion.

In our last 10 league games we've averaged PPG 1.7

Best defensive record in the division, only conceding 25 goals in 32 games.

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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby Stags 2002 » Tue Feb 12, 2019 10:09 pm

Games remaining against top 8 teams.

Lincoln - 6
Stags - 4
Bury - 3
Mk Dons - 5
Colchester - 6
Carlisle - 5
Forest Green - 6
Exeter - 5

Still plenty of games to be played in and amongst the top third of the table which does mean points are guaranteed to be dropped by some teams.
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby KirkbyStag2 » Sat Feb 16, 2019 10:04 pm

I'm assuming 81 points will be enough for automatic promotion, TOP 3 finish.

Current Table
PLD.....W......D.....L......PTS.......PPG
33......15.....13....5.......58.......1.76

Required for 81 points
PLD.....W.....D.......L......PTS......PPG
13.......7......2.......4.......23......1.77 (same as Stags last 13 games)
13.......6......5.......2.......23......1.77
13.......5......8.......0.......23......1.77

Based on our current PPG 1.76 we would finish on 81 points, which is usually Top 3, automatic promotion.

In our last 10 league games we've averaged PPG 1.6

Best defensive record in the division, only conceding 26 goals in 33 games.

Very disappointing performance today, Flitcroft did call it correctly after the game, Stags just didn't turn up!

Although not the reason for Stags defeat, I thought the referee was really really poor, a homer, I was expecting a lot better from a Premiership ref.

Anyway, hoping this is a blip in a successful season, Forest Green now a massive game next Saturday.

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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby Stags 2002 » Sun Feb 17, 2019 11:50 pm

We have now officially played each team once. As i did last year working on the basis that if you win at home and draw away i.e take 4pts per team you'll get 92 points .Below is the road map for the remaining reverse fixtures and outcome required to secure 4pts against each team.

The defeat against Exeter means only 3pts rather than 4pts are attainable setting 91pts as the starting target.

Bury H (W) (W) +0 91pts
Swindon H (W) (D) -2 89pts
Grimsby A (D) (W) +2 91pts
Carlisle A (D) (L) -1 90pts
Yeovil H (W) (L) -3 87pts
Colchester A (W) (W) +0 87pts
Tranmere H (W) (W) +0 87pts
Macclesfield H (W) (W) +0 87pts
Newport A (D) (L) -1 86pts
Notts County A (D) (L) -1 85pts
Forest Green H (W)
Cheltenham H (W)
Port Vale A (D)
Crawley A (D)
Lincoln H (W)
Crewe H (D)
Exeter A (W)
Cambridge H (W)
Northampton A (D)
Morecambe H (D)
Oldham A (W)
Stevenage H (D)
MK Dons A (W)

13 games remain - 7 Wins 6 Draws will give us 85 points.
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Re: Can Stags finish in the TOP 3 ?

Postby Son Of Sherwood » Sun Feb 17, 2019 11:58 pm

We have two games at home followed by two away before two more at home from where we are now.

In other words four home and two away out of the next six fixtures. If the team and management want to keep the pressure off themselves then a minimum of 14 points is a must from these games. Other teams around us will drop points but if we maintain our points haul we will get promoted, maybe not as champions but playing in league one next season - which is surely all that matters.

These next six games will define our season imo
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