Again this analysis is assuming we take an average of 4 pts from each team (where possible) over the course of the season.
Path was previously 87 points however now revised to 86 after the defeat at Swindon, reduced to 84 points after the draw against Colchester and further reduced to 83 points after a loss at FGR. Our required result in brackets, followed by the actual result, impact and cumulative position.
Home vs.Cheltenham (W) (W) -+0pts (87 pts)
Morecambe vs. Away (D) (W) +2pts (89 pts)
Home vs.Barnet (W) (W) -+0pts (89 pts)
Swindon vs. Away (W) (L) -3pts (86 pts)
Home vs.Newport County (W) (W) -+0pts (86 pts)
Exeter vs. Away (W) (W) -+0pts (86 pts)
Home vs.Coventry (D) (D) -+0pts (86 pts)
Home vs.Lincoln City (D) (D) -+0pts (86 pts)
Home vs.Colchester (W) (D) -2pts (84 pts)
Notts County vs. Away (D) (D) +-0pts (84 pts)
Forest Green vs. Away (D) (L) -1pt (83 pts)
Home vs.Accrington (W)
Luton vs. Away (W)
Home vs.Crewe (W)
Stevenage vs. Away (D)
Chesterfield vs. Away (W)
Home vs.Port Vale (D)
Yeovil vs. Away (W)
Home vs.Crawley (W)
6 wins and 2 draws will be tough to achieve given current form, but we need something like this if we are to gain automatic promotion.
However that being said of the 11 games 7 games have gone as forecasted, lets hope the next 8 are also in line with the above forecast and we can get 83 points.
Now need to get some wins chalked up.